Institutional-grade geopolitical risk assessments, military power analytics, and strategic intelligence for governments, investors, and security professionals operating in complex environments.
57
Countries
6
Intelligence Modules
40+
Indicators
Live
API Access
Intelligence Products
Four Modules. One Platform.
ARES · SPI
State Power Index
Composite assessment of state power across natural resources, geography, governance, military capability, economic strength, and strategic positioning. 57 countries across MENA, East Africa, and South Asia.
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MARS · MPS
Military Power Monitor
Real-time military capability rankings integrating defence spending, order of battle, nuclear posture, US security assistance, arms transfers, and combat experience. DSCA and SIPRI sourced.
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HERMES · TPI
Trade & Port Intelligence
Maritime chokepoint analysis, trade dependency scoring, and port vulnerability assessment for strategic maritime corridors including Bab-el-Mandeb, Strait of Hormuz, and Suez Canal.
Coming Q2 2026 →
ATLAS · ESI
Economic Stability Index
Sovereign debt risk, currency vulnerability, fiscal resilience, and economic fragility assessments for emerging market governments and institutional investors with exposure to complex environments.
Coming Q2 2026 →
AYAAN · NIA
Narrative Intelligence
Real-time tracking of state and non-state information operations, propaganda patterns, and influence campaigns across the Horn of Africa and Arabian Peninsula media ecosystems.
Preview Available →
SPEC · CIR
Country Intelligence Reports
AI-synthesised intelligence reports integrating all platform modules into analyst-ready assessments. Structured to NATO intelligence standards. On-demand or subscription basis.
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ARES · State Power Index
SPI Rankings — Public Preview
Rankings57 COUNTRIES
Full dataset of 57 countries requires institutional access
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Agent MARS · Premium Intelligence Product
Military Power Index · Defence Spending · Arms Transfers · US Security Assistance · 57 Countries
$2,000 – $5,000 / month Subscription · Full Access
57
Countries Tracked
$2.4T
Global Defence Spend
8
Dominant Powers
$28B+
US FMF Tracked
4
Analytical Dimensions
Military Power Rankings57 COUNTRIES
Saudi Arabia
Full Rankings Restricted
Military Power · Geographic DistributionMilitary Power Index Map
Hover for Detail
Dominant
Major
Significant
Emerging
SIPRI · Defence Spending
Top Spenders by Volume
USD BILLIONS
Full Dataset Restricted
DSCA · US Security Assistance
FMF & FMS by Country
USD MILLIONS
FMF Grant Aid
FMS Sales
High Dependency
Full Dataset Restricted
Military Power & Security Assistance Monitor · Sources: SIPRI Military Expenditure Database, DSCA Notifications, IISS Military Balance, Nuclear Threat Initiative ·
Analytical Framework · Transparency Report
How RepubliQ Builds Intelligence
Our assessments are built on transparent, reproducible frameworks. Every score is derived from primary government sources, multilateral databases, and peer-reviewed research — documented here for client verification.
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57
Countries
40+
Indicators
8
SPI Pillars
6
Modules
State Power Index
The SPI is a composite index measuring the underlying capacity of a state to project power, sustain stability, and influence regional outcomes. It synthesises eight structural pillars into a single score ranging from 0–100.
Unlike event-driven risk indices, the SPI measures structural state capacity — the enduring features that determine a country's strategic ceiling. It is updated annually with quarterly adjustments for significant structural shifts.
Score Formula
SPI = Σ(Pillar_Score × Pillar_Weight)
Each pillar is scored 0–20, normalised against the regional maximum. Weights reflect the relative importance of each dimension to long-term state capacity.
Weight Distribution
Tier Classification: ■ Tier 1 (65+): Regional Dominant Power ■ Tier 2 (45–64): Major Regional Power ■ Tier 3 (30–44): Significant State Actor ■ Tier 4 (<30): Limited State Capacity
The Eight Pillars
Click any pillar to expand indicators & sources
Military Power Score
MARS v3 synthesises six dimensions of military capability into a single Military Power Score (MPS) ranging from 0–100. The framework distinguishes between raw capability (hardware, personnel) and effective capability (doctrine, experience, external support).
The MPS is calibrated against the regional maximum rather than global, making it analytically relevant for assessing intra-regional balance rather than global military ranking.
Power Classification
DOMINANT
MPS 50+. Decisive conventional superiority. Capable of sustained regional force projection.
MAJOR
MPS 25–49. Significant conventional capability. Able to conduct offensive operations within sub-region.
RepubliQ Global uses only primary and peer-reviewed secondary sources. All data is cross-referenced across at least two independent sources before inclusion. Proprietary estimates are clearly flagged and limited to cases where primary data is unavailable.
Update Cycle
Annual
Full SPI recalculation. New SIPRI data integration. IISS Military Balance update. World Bank indicators refresh.
Quarterly
Governance adjustments for significant political events. Economic data updates. Conflict intensity recalibration.
Monthly
MARS FMF/FMS update from DSCA notifications. Maritime incident database refresh. ACLED event integration.
Every indicator is verified against a minimum of two independent sources. Significant discrepancies trigger manual review before inclusion.
Analyst Review Layer
All algorithmic outputs are reviewed by regional analysts with direct country experience. Qualitative adjustments are documented and flagged.
Backtesting
Frameworks are backtested against historical events to measure predictive validity. Model performance reports available to enterprise subscribers.
Limitations Disclosure
Where data is sparse, estimated, or subject to significant uncertainty, this is explicitly documented in the relevant country profiles.
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RepubliQ Global serves governments, multilateral organisations, institutional investors, and security sector professionals. Contact us to discuss your analytical requirements.