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Horn of Africa · Red Sea Basin · MENA · East Africa

Practitioner-Led
Intelligence for
Consequential
Decisions

Decision-grade geopolitical intelligence for East Africa, the Horn of Africa, and MENA — built for organisations where the stakes are highest.

57
Countries
395K
Conflict Events
29
Dossier Sections
4
Regional Languages

Trusted by legal practitioners, development organisations, security consultancies, and investors operating in East Africa and the Red Sea corridor.

● LIVE · MENA ◆ Horn of Africa ◆ Red Sea ◆ Gulf ◆ East Africa Sources: SIPRI · ACLED · World Bank · DSCA · Regional Media · Maritime AIS
Horn of Africa · Red Sea Basin · MENA · East Africa

Practitioner-Led
Intelligence for
Consequential
Decisions

Decision-grade geopolitical intelligence for East Africa, the Horn of Africa, and MENA — built for organisations where the stakes are highest.

57
Countries
395K
Conflict Events
29
Dossier Sections
4
Regional Languages

Trusted by legal practitioners, development organisations, security consultancies, and investors operating in East Africa and the Red Sea corridor.

Strategic Coverage Zone

East Africa · Horn · Red Sea Basin

SPEC Coverage:
LIVE
Conflict Alert Red Sea maritime incident reported near Bab-el-Mandeb ◆ Defense Spending Saudi Arabia defense budget +4.1% — FY2026 allocation ◆ Security Assistance Egypt FMF allocation updated — $1.3bn authorised ◆ Energy Infrastructure LNG facility expansion approved in Qatar ◆ Technology Policy AI regulation framework shift — UAE Digital Authority ◆ Military Movement Ethiopian armed forces repositioning in Tigray region ◆ Power Index Iran SPI score revised following naval exercise data ◆ Maritime Alert Houthi activity reported — southern Red Sea corridor ◆ Economic Signal Sudan foreign reserve depletion — critical threshold reached ◆ Diplomatic US-Saudi security framework review — quarterly briefing issued
Intelligence Products
Five Core Products. One Decision Platform.

RepubliQ Global is a geopolitical intelligence platform — not a collection of reports. Each product integrates structured data, proprietary scoring models, and continuous monitoring into decision-grade outputs.

SPEC Intelligence Dossiers
Country Intelligence Dossiers
Decision-grade country assessments covering political risk, elite power structure, conflict intelligence, economic analysis, scenario modelling, and early warning indicators. 29 structured sections. Built for senior decision-makers — not general audiences.
Download Free Djibouti Brief →
Strategic Power Index
Strategic Power Index
11-pillar composite power scoring across 57 countries. Natural resources, military capability, strategic geography, governance quality, financial power, and technology — combined into a single calibrated index with full methodology transparency.
View Dashboard →
MARS Military Monitor
Military Power Monitor
Structured military capability rankings integrating defence spending, order of battle, force composition, US security assistance flows, arms transfers, and combat experience. 57 countries. SIPRI-calibrated annual refresh.
View MARS →
Conflict Intelligence — AMAL
Conflict Intelligence
395,770 unified conflict events 1989–2026 (UCDP GED + ACLED). Country-level conflict scoring, fatality trend analysis, and hotspot identification. The most comprehensive unified conflict dataset available for MENA and East Africa.
View Dashboard →
Regional Monitoring & Early Warning
Regional Monitoring
Continuous monitoring of geopolitical developments, conflict signals, and strategic risk indicators. Integrates multilingual OSINT across Arabic, French, Swahili, Somali, and Amharic with structured early warning thresholds and subscriber alerts.
Book a Briefing Call →
Who This Is For

Different buyers. Same regional depth.

For Legal Practitioners
Immigration &
Asylum Cases

Certified translation in Somali, Arabic, and French. Country conditions expert declarations for Horn of Africa asylum claims. Somaliland, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia — sourced, structured, and legally defensible.

◆ Certified document translation◆ Country conditions declarations◆ Immigration court interpretation◆ Expert witness testimony
For Operators & Programmes
Development &
Security Sector

Decision-grade country intelligence for USAID implementing partners, NGOs, security consultancies, and organisations deploying people and programmes into the Horn of Africa and Red Sea corridor.

◆ SPEC country intelligence dossiers◆ Pre-deployment regional briefings◆ Conflict and displacement monitoring◆ Early warning indicator alerts
For Investors & Maritime
Risk Intelligence &
Advisory

Structured political risk and economic intelligence for private equity, development finance, and maritime operators with East Africa or Red Sea exposure. Analyst-grade, not aggregated opinion.

◆ Political risk assessments◆ Red Sea corridor monitoring◆ Economic stability scoring (ATLAS)◆ Retained analyst advisory
Sample Intelligence Output
SPEC COUNTRY DOSSIER
Djibouti Country Intelligence Dossier 2026
Published March 2026 · RepubliQ Global Intelligence · Horn of Africa Bundle
A 29-section decision-grade country intelligence dossier covering Djibouti's political structure, elite power networks, ATLAS risk score (63.5 Medium Risk), conflict intelligence (UCDP + ACLED), strategic infrastructure, patron competition dynamics, and 24-month scenario analysis. Same format as the paid product — available free.
RepubliQ Finding — patron competition, not Guelleh's health, is the succession risk
ATLAS Risk Score 63.5 — full methodology, worked example, peer comparison
Elite Power Structure — RPP inner circle, five foreign patron mapping
24-month scenario analysis — three pathways with probability weights
CLASSIFICATION: COMMERCIAL SENSITIVE
March 2026
Iran–Israel Escalation Risk
Strategic Assessment · RepubliQ Global
Executive Summary
Escalation probability remains elevated at 62% over the 90-day assessment window. Direct conventional exchange remains the least likely outcome. Proxy escalation through Iraqi and Lebanese networks presents the highest near-term risk vector.
Containment
45%
Limited Escalation
35%
Direct Exchange
20%
Free Intelligence Brief

Download the Djibouti
SPEC Dossier.
Complimentary.

A 29-section Country Intelligence Dossier. ATLAS risk scoring, 395,000 conflict events, elite power structure, and 24-month scenario analysis. Same depth as the paid product.

  • ✓ATLAS score 63.5 — full methodology and peer comparison
  • ✓395,000 conflict events — UCDP + ACLED unified 1989–2026
  • ✓Patron network and succession scenario mapping
  • ✓Decision implications — investors, operators, policy and defense

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SPEC Country Dossier EXECUTIVE SAMPLE
Djibouti
Horn of Africa · March 2026
ATLAS RISK SCORE
63.5 MEDIUM RISK
Kenya 61.1 · Somalia 58.2 · Ethiopia 49.4
REPUBLIQ FINDING
Patron competition — not Guelleh's health — is the primary succession risk. China, UAE, US, and France each hold structural leverage.
View Full Brief & Download ↓