Data-Driven Geopolitical Intelligence

RepubliQ Global is a geopolitical intelligence firm specialising in the Middle East and East Africa.

Strategic Intelligence
for Complex Regions

Data-driven geopolitical intelligence covering the Middle East, North Africa, and East Africa.

57 Countries Covered
Conflict, Economic & Technology Analysis
Briefings Updated Continuously
Institutional Access Available
57
Countries Covered
4
Analytical Domains
11
SPI Pillars
5
Languages Monitored
1989
Conflict Data From
AMAL · Conflict Intelligence — 385,918 UCDP events ARES · Strategic Power Index — 57 countries, 11 pillars HERMES · Technology Power Index — 14 domains, 57 countries ATLAS · Economic Intelligence — 47 countries scored SENTINEL · Maritime Intelligence — Red Sea, Bab-el-Mandeb, Hormuz AYAAN · Multilingual OSINT — 5 languages, 51 sources, 20 actors NOVA · Regional Opportunity Analysis — Market Entry Support SPEC · Commissioned Intelligence Reports — Country & Regional Analysis AMAL · Conflict Intelligence — 385,918 UCDP events ARES · Strategic Power Index — 57 countries, 11 pillars HERMES · Technology Power Index — 14 domains, 57 countries ATLAS · Economic Intelligence — 47 countries scored SENTINEL · Maritime Intelligence — Red Sea, Bab-el-Mandeb, Hormuz AYAAN · Multilingual OSINT — 5 languages, 51 sources, 20 actors NOVA · Regional Opportunity Analysis — Market Entry Support SPEC · Commissioned Intelligence Reports — Country & Regional Analysis
Featured Intelligence Brief · March 2026
Sudan Conflict Monitor: RSF Consolidation and Fragmentation of the SAF
RSF expansion across Khartoum and Darfur places the SAF under severe operational pressure. Near-term escalation risk assessed at HIGH. Civilian displacement accelerating.
Request Full Brief View All Briefings →
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New · Agent MARS
Military Power & Security Assistance Monitor
57
Countries
4
Dimensions
$2.4T
Spend Tracked
Annual
Update Cadence
$2,000 – $5,000 /month
Preview → Request Access
Intelligence Capabilities

Four Domains.
One Platform.

RepubliQ Global delivers intelligence across four core domains covering the Middle East, North Africa, and East Africa.

Geopolitical Analysis
Conflict & Political Intelligence
Country-level conflict monitoring, political stability assessment, and strategic power scoring. 385,918 conflict events indexed from 1989 to present.
AMAL · ARES · SPEC
Strategic Risk Intelligence
Economic & Technology Risk
Sovereign economic risk scoring, technology power assessment, and investment climate analysis across 57 countries.
ATLAS · HERMES
Regional Expertise
Maritime & OSINT Monitoring
Chokepoint risk monitoring across the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Multilingual OSINT in Arabic, French, Swahili, Somali, and Amharic.
SENTINEL · AYAAN
Intelligence Platform
API Access & Reporting
Commissioned reports, recurring monitoring, and structured data access for institutional clients.
SPEC · NOVA · CIPHER · CLOUD
Flagship Index — Agent ARES

Strategic Power Index

The Strategic Power Index measures national capability across eleven structural pillars — including resources, military power, technology, and governance. Scoring 57 countries across MENA, East Africa, West Africa, and South Asia.

P01 · 12%
Natural Resources
Oil, Gas, Minerals
P02 · 8%
Electricity & Power
Generation, Grid, Renewables
P03 · 18%
Military Capability
Personnel, Equipment, Naval
P04 · 12%
Strategic Geography
Chokepoints, Bases, Maritime
P05 · 10%
Energy Export Power
LNG, Pipelines, Routes
P06 · 10%
Demographics
Population, Youth, Labor
P07 · 10%
Industrial Capacity
Manufacturing, Diversification
P08 · 8%
Technology
R&D, Digital, AI Adoption
P09 · 8%
Maritime Power
Naval, Ports, Trade Routes
P10 · 8%
Financial Power
Reserves, Sovereign Wealth
P11 · 6%
Governance
Stability, Institutions, Corruption
57
Countries Scored
Full coverage across MENA, East Africa, West Africa, Central Africa, Southern Africa, and South Asia.
#CountryScoreTier
01 Saudi Arabia 75.9 Dominant
02 Iran 75.3 Dominant
03 UAE 73.5 Dominant
04 Turkey 68.7 Major
05 Egypt 67.2 Major
06 Israel 66.7 Major
07 South Africa 58.4 Major
08 Qatar 56.7 Significant
Pillar weights, data sources and scoring methodology available upon request. View Methodology →
Commission SPI Report →
Intelligence Outputs

Recent Briefings

Analytical outputs from RepubliQ Global. Available to subscribers and on commission.

Conflict Brief March 2026
Sudan: RSF Consolidation and the Fragmentation of the SAF
RSF expansion across Khartoum and Darfur places the SAF under severe operational pressure. Escalation risk: HIGH.
East Africa · Sudan · AMAL + SPEC
Economic Note March 2026
Lebanon: Structural Collapse Indicators and Recovery Conditions
Inflation at 45.2% and external debt at 331.6% of GNI. Recovery contingent on IMF engagement and political settlement.
MENA · Lebanon · ATLAS + SPEC
Maritime Alert February 2026
Red Sea: Houthi Threat Trajectory and Commercial Shipping Exposure
Houthi targeting has shifted to high-value commercial vessels. Bab-el-Mandeb transit risk elevated.
MENA · Yemen · SENTINEL
Power Index February 2026
SPI Rankings: Gulf States Maintain Dominant Tier Across All 11 Pillars
Saudi Arabia, Iran, and UAE hold dominant tier. Turkey narrows the gap on industrial capacity.
MENA · Gulf States · ARES
OSINT Monitor January 2026
Sahel: Wagner/Africa Corps Narrative Operations and French Withdrawal
Pro-Russian messaging normalises coup governance across Francophone West Africa. JNIM activity increasing in borderlands.
West Africa · Sahel · AYAAN
Technology Index January 2026
TPI: Israel Leads MENA Technology Rankings at 96.5
Israel leads regional technology rankings at 96.5, followed by UAE and Turkey. All three classified ADVANCED across cybersecurity and AI ecosystem.
MENA · Technology · HERMES
Sample Analytical Outputs
Country Risk Brief  ·  Regional Outlook  ·  Conflict Monitor  ·  Power Index Report
Request a Sample →
Services

What We Deliver

Intelligence products and advisory services for governments, investors, international organizations, and private sector clients.

01
Country Intelligence Dossiers
Comprehensive political, security, economic, and social assessments. 25–35 pages. Sovereign wealth fund and private equity grade research for complex market entry decisions.
SPECAMALATLAS
02
Strategic Power Assessments
Regional and bilateral power analysis using the SPI. Country comparisons, scenario modeling, and ranked assessments for defense and policy clients.
ARESSPI11 Pillars
03
Maritime Risk Briefings
Chokepoint threat assessments, sanctions evasion monitoring, and vessel incident alerts. Tailored for insurers, shipping companies, and logistics operators.
SENTINELMaritime
04
Investment Risk Monitoring
Ongoing sovereign risk monitoring with quarterly updates. Conflict trajectory, economic stability, and political durability assessments for investors active in MENA and East Africa.
ATLASAMALARES
About

Purpose-Built for Complex Regions

RepubliQ Global provides geopolitical analysis and regional intelligence focused on the Middle East, North Africa, and East Africa — the regions that shape global energy markets, migration corridors, and strategic competition.

The firm combines data-driven analysis with on-the-ground regional knowledge and multilingual capability to support governments, organizations, and businesses operating where traditional intelligence coverage is limited.

Our analysis combines structured data with regional expertise — producing outputs suited to decision-making in complex environments.

Platform Operational
Briefings Available
I
Data-Driven Analysis
All assessments are grounded in structured datasets — UCDP conflict events, World Bank indicators, and proprietary scoring methodologies across 57 countries.
II
Regional Depth
Linguistic capability across Arabic, French, Swahili, Somali, and Amharic. Analysis that engages with the region on its own terms.
III
Methodological Transparency
Each index — SPI, TPI, ATLAS — is documented with explicit pillar weights, data sources, and scoring methodology. No black boxes.
IV
Operational Intelligence
Products are designed for decision-making, not academic review. Structured formats, clear tiers, and actionable conclusions.
Geographic Coverage

57 Countries. One Platform.

MENA Saudi Arabia · UAE · Iran · Israel · Turkey · Egypt · Iraq · Jordan · Lebanon · Syria · Yemen · Qatar · Kuwait · Bahrain · Oman · Libya · Tunisia · Algeria · Morocco · Palestine 20
East Africa Ethiopia · Sudan · Somalia · Kenya · Uganda · Tanzania · Rwanda · Burundi · Eritrea · Djibouti · South Sudan · Mozambique 12
West Africa Nigeria · Mali · Burkina Faso · Niger · Senegal · Ghana · Côte d'Ivoire · Guinea · Cameroon · Chad 10
Central & Southern Africa DRC · Congo · Angola · Zambia · Zimbabwe · South Africa · Namibia · Botswana 8
South & Central Asia Pakistan · Afghanistan · Kazakhstan · Uzbekistan · Azerbaijan · Armenia · Georgia 7
Research Methodology
Each index is built on documented pillar weights, verified data sources, and transparent scoring frameworks. Methodology available upon request.
Update Cadence
Country scores and conflict monitoring updated continuously. Briefings published as events warrant. Annual index recalibration.
Analytical Frameworks
SPI · TPI · ATLAS economic risk scoring. Proprietary frameworks calibrated to MENA and East African operational realities.
Briefing Types
Country dossiers · Strategic power reports · Conflict briefs · Maritime risk alerts · Economic outlooks · OSINT monitors.
Selected Applications
Risk Assessment
Country Risk Scoring & Monitoring
Ongoing sovereign risk assessment for investors and institutions active in MENA and East Africa.
Power Analysis
Strategic Power Benchmarking
Comparative national capability scoring for defense analysis, diplomatic planning, and regional strategy.
Maritime
Chokepoint & Shipping Risk
Vessel incident tracking and chokepoint threat assessment for insurers, logistics firms, and flag states.
Influence Monitoring
Multilingual Narrative Tracking
Identification of active information operations across Arabic, French, and Swahili media environments.
Featured Intelligence Products

Example Outputs

Representative intelligence products available to institutional clients, governments, and investors.

Conflict Monitor
Sudan Conflict Monitor
RSF-SAF conflict trajectory, territorial control mapping, displacement trends, and 90-day escalation scenarios. Updated as events warrant.
AMAL · SPEC · ARES
Request →
Maritime Security
Red Sea Security Outlook
Houthi threat assessment, Bab-el-Mandeb transit risk, vessel incident analysis, and commercial shipping exposure. Tailored for insurers and logistics operators.
SENTINEL · AMAL · SPEC
Request →
Power Index
Horn of Africa Strategic Power Report
SPI rankings for Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Eritrea, and Djibouti. Comparative power assessment across all 11 pillars with regional scenario analysis.
ARES · ATLAS · SPEC
Request →
Contact

Get in Touch

RepubliQ Global supports governments, investors, and international organisations operating in complex regions.

For intelligence subscriptions, commissioned reports, API access, or partnership inquiries. Response within 48 hours.

Platform Live
Institutional Access Available
RG
RepubliQ Global
Strategic Intelligence Dashboard  ·  Preview Mode
Operational
← Main Site
Preview Mode · Showing limited dataset · Full platform available to institutional clients
Request Institutional Access →
ARES · Strategic Power Index
SPI Rankings
Top 5 · Full access: subscribers
Regional Overview · SPI Tiers
Geopolitical Intelligence Map
Click country for detail
Dominant
Major
Significant
Emerging
AMAL · Conflict Intelligence
Active Conflict Monitor
385K Events
SENTINEL · Maritime Intelligence
Chokepoint Risk Monitor
Key Routes
ATLAS · Economic Risk
Regional Economic Risk Index
ATLAS Scores
RepubliQ Global Intelligence Platform · Preview Mode · March 2026
Conflict: UCDP GED 1989–2024 Economic: World Bank WDI Power: ARES SPI v1.0 Maritime: SENTINEL Monitor
Full Platform Access
Complete SPI rankings across 57 countries · Historical conflict datasets · Maritime alerts · Economic risk scoring · Downloadable reports · API integration. Available to governments, institutional investors, and verified research organisations.
Request Institutional Access ← Main Site
Full Platform Access
Complete SPI rankings across 57 countries · Historical conflict datasets · Maritime alerts · Economic risk scoring · Downloadable reports · API integration. Available to governments, institutional investors, and verified research organisations.
Request Institutional Access ← Main Site
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RepubliQ Global
Military Power & Security Assistance Monitor
Preview
← Main Site
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Agent MARS · Premium Intelligence Product
Military Power Index · Defence Spending · Arms Transfers · US Security Assistance · 57 Countries
$2,000 – $5,000 / month Subscription · Full Access
Request Access
57
Countries Tracked
$2.4T
Global Defence Spend
8
Dominant Powers
$28B+
US FMF Tracked
4
Analytical Dimensions
MARS · Military Power Index
Military Power Rankings
57 Countries
🔒
Full Rankings Restricted
Rankings 6–57 · Subscriber access only
Request Institutional Access
Military Power · Geographic Distribution
Military Power Index Map
Hover for detail
Dominant
Major
Significant
Emerging
SIPRI · Defence Spending
Top Spenders by Volume
USD Billions
🔒
Full Dataset Restricted
All 57 countries · Subscriber access
Request Access
DSCA · US Security Assistance
FMF & FMS by Country
USD Millions
FMF Grant Aid
FMS Sales
High Dependency
🔒
Full Dataset Restricted
All recipients · Subscriber access
Request Access
RepubliQ Global · Military Power Monitor · Preview Mode · March 2026
Spending: SIPRI Military Expenditure Database Capability: IISS Military Balance Assistance: DSCA / Security Assistance Monitor
Agent ARES · Analytical Framework

Strategic Power Index
Methodology

The Strategic Power Index (SPI) is a composite measure of national strategic capability, scored across eleven structural pillars. This document outlines the data sources, weighting logic, and scoring methodology underpinning the index. Full technical documentation is available to institutional clients upon request.

Power Tiers
Score thresholds for classification
DOMINANT
65 – 100
States with decisive regional or global strategic capability across multiple pillars. Capable of projecting power beyond their immediate borders.
MAJOR
50 – 64.9
States with significant strategic weight in their region. Capable of influencing regional dynamics but constrained in global power projection.
SIGNIFICANT
35 – 49.9
States with meaningful strategic assets in at least one or two pillars. Capable of shaping sub-regional outcomes under certain conditions.
EMERGING
0 – 34.9
States with limited strategic capability. Primarily subject to external influence. May hold significant potential in specific sectors.
Eleven Pillars
Weights sum to 100%
#PillarWeightComponentsPrimary Sources
Scoring Logic
Normalisation and aggregation
Composite SPI Score
SPI = Σ (Pillar_Score_i × Weight_i) for i = 1 to 11
Each pillar is scored on a 0–100 scale before weighting. The composite score is the weighted sum across all eleven pillars, producing a final score between 0 and 100.
Normalisation Method
Normalised_Score = (Raw_Value − Min) / (Max − Min) × 100
Min-max normalisation is applied within each pillar across the full 57-country coverage universe. Outliers are capped at the 97th percentile to prevent distortion from extreme values (e.g., Saudi Arabia oil reserves, Israel cybersecurity spending).
Qualitative Pillars (P04 · P09)
Expert-scored 0–100 using standardised rubric · Validated against secondary quantitative indicators
Strategic Geography (P04) and Maritime Power (P09) incorporate qualitative assessment of chokepoint access, basing rights, and naval doctrine. These are scored using a documented rubric and reviewed annually.
Update Cadence
Annual recalibration · Quarterly data refresh · Event-triggered updates for major strategic shocks
Pillar weights are reviewed annually. Country scores are refreshed as new data becomes available from primary sources. Major geopolitical events (coups, wars, sanctions regimes) trigger out-of-cycle score updates.
Data Sources
Primary and secondary

Full Technical Documentation

Complete methodology including sub-indicator definitions, variable lists, source citations, and historical calibration notes is available to institutional clients and verified researchers upon request.

Request Full Methodology →